Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.255654e-01 0.154264 0.185512 0.221770 0.262397 0.306248 0.356883
2025-03-30 8.479174e-02 0.121551 0.165354 0.220169 0.285741 0.360567 0.451312
2025-04-06 5.827477e-02 0.098261 0.150395 0.220315 0.308772 0.414355 0.547320
2025-04-13 4.175007e-02 0.083132 0.142003 0.226009 0.337419 0.475290 0.654050
2025-04-20 3.056165e-02 0.072198 0.136664 0.233950 0.368280 0.539522 0.766773
2025-04-27 2.211567e-02 0.062781 0.131380 0.240509 0.396759 0.601151 0.877786
2025-05-04 1.464985e-02 0.052114 0.121833 0.239157 0.413447 0.647300 0.969863
2025-05-11 1.016015e-02 0.045361 0.117147 0.243979 0.438242 0.704282 1.076767
2025-05-18 6.252106e-03 0.037568 0.108813 0.241684 0.451930 0.746030 1.164114
2025-05-25 2.965701e-03 0.028287 0.095173 0.228625 0.448118 0.762755 1.217796
2025-06-01 1.657869e-03 0.024141 0.090909 0.230743 0.466926 0.811070 1.314441
2025-06-08 6.524504e-04 0.019014 0.082866 0.224888 0.472471 0.840149 1.384941
2025-06-15 3.688554e-04 0.017790 0.084243 0.236983 0.507727 0.913768 1.519393
2025-06-22 9.639262e-05 0.014638 0.079556 0.236805 0.522831 0.958258 1.614208
2025-06-29 1.011890e-05 0.012138 0.075768 0.237839 0.539745 1.005614 1.713697
2025-07-06 2.244806e-08 0.010705 0.074749 0.244352 0.565994 1.067307 1.834239
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009700 0.074801 0.253024 0.596086 1.135198 1.964350
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008629 0.074196 0.260118 0.623551 1.199494 2.090075
2025-07-27 NaN 0.006881 0.070069 0.258805 0.635991 1.240881 2.183328
2025-08-03 NaN 0.005942 0.068849 0.263949 0.659964 1.300309 2.303199
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004578 0.064686 0.261570 0.670061 1.338191 2.392121
2025-08-17 NaN 0.002827 0.056426 0.247830 0.658348 1.341303 2.430001
2025-08-24 NaN 0.002241 0.054576 0.250076 0.676419 1.391660 2.537683